Assessing Prognosis of Acute Coronary Syndrome in Recent Clinical Trials: A Systematic Review

  • June 2019,
  • 11;
  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3121/cmr.2019.1433

Abstract

There is no recent comprehensive overview of contemporary clinical trials assessing short and long-term outcomes in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). This paper reviews factors from recent clinical trials that influenced prognosis in patients with ACS. Cochrane and PubMed databases were screened systematically for clinical trials published in the English literature reporting on ACS prognosis. Two authors independently screened titles, abstracts, and full text. Studies meeting inclusion criteria evaluated the impact of modern practice on prognosis. In vitro and animal models studies, conference abstracts, imaging studies, and review articles were excluded. Disagreement in inclusion criteria was resolved by consensus. A large study of 8,859 patients showed no difference in all-cause mortality between 31 days and 2 years in patients with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) compared to those with non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) or stable ischemic heart disease (SIHD). Other studies showed a significant increase in all-cause mortality in patients with STEMI within the first 30 days, with NSTEMI patients exhibiting a higher mortality rate compared to those with SIHD during the 2-year follow-up period. Our review found that women have a poorer short-term prognosis compared to men. Additionally, reports from patients receiving comprehensive and coordinated care showed longer survival rates. In view of the improved prognosis demonstrated for patients suffering from ACS, assessing prognosis in patients represents a formidable task in modern practice. Our review highlights the need for further evidence-based studies evaluating long-term outcomes on diagnostic and treatment strategies.

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is a common flow-limiting disease of the coronary arteries caused by a supply-demand mismatch in myocardial perfusion.1 It is a disabling medical condition that affects 112 million people over the age of 20 years worldwide.2 Though the mortality of patients with ACS has declined in recent years, ischemic heart disease remains the leading cause of deaths (45.1%, nearly 801,000 deaths) attributable to cardiovascular disease in the United States, and it is associated with enormous healthcare costs. Patients with ACS often experience limitations in ordinary activities, other co-morbidities, and mental health issues that impair quality of life (QoL). The therapeutic goal is directed towards relieving symptoms and improving functional status as well as the patient’s self-perception of their health or QoL. Current management strategies for ACS include pharmacologic therapy, invasive interventional techniques, and life style modification. These treatment options are complementary rather than mutually exclusive.

There has been a rapid and significant improvement in prognosis of patients with ACS due to advancements in drug therapy and interventional techniques. Despite recent advances in treatment, mortality remains substantially high after hospital admission. Prognosis in patients with ACS, with or without heart failure, has been shown to differ based on a medical or revascularization approach and modified by factors including sex differences, physical activity, follow-up strategies, medications, and concomitant heart failure. Regardless of the approach, treatment goals should be directed towards improving survival and QoL.

View this table:
Table 1

Descriptive information of the included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and subjects in this review

There is no recent comprehensive overview of contemporary clinical trials assessing factors on outcomes in patients with ACS. We hypothesized that ACS mortality is influenced by a variety of factors including sex, exercise, medications, and type of follow-up. The aim of this study was to systematically review recent (2012–2017) evidence-based management strategies from randomized and observational studies using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) method to critically appraise relevant papers in this systematic review.

Methods

Search Strategy

Cochrane and PUBMED database were searched using the medical subject headings (MeSH) terms: prognosis, angina, and clinical trials. The search was limited to human clinical trials in the English literature published from January 1, 2012 to October 31, 2017. The bibliographies of retrieved articles were reviewed for additional relevant studies.

Eligibility Criteria

Two authors independently screened titles, abstracts, and full text for potentially eligible articles. Studies chosen were those that evaluated the impact of modern practice on the prognosis of patients with ACS. In vitro and animal models studies, conference abstracts, imaging studies, and review articles were excluded. Disagreement in inclusion criteria was resolved by consensus.

Data Extraction and Quality Assessment

This systematic review was performed following the PRISMA method. The authors, journal, year of publication, study location, treatment, and outcomes were abstracted. Two authors reviewed all included studies independently in order to minimize risk of bias across studies (ie, publication bias, selective reporting).

Results

Study Identification

Initial screen yielded 120 relevant citations appraised at the title and abstract level, 64 of which were removed (51 based on research scope and 13 that were reviews and conference reports); another 21 studies were discarded after reviewing the abstract (18 based on research scope and 3 were review articles). The full text was reviewed for the 35 remaining articles. Based on that review, 13 papers were excluded, since the articles were related to biomarkers and assessment tools. Thus, 22 studies constituted our final publication set included in this review (Figure 1).

Study Characteristics

Fifteen studies were randomized controlled trials (RCTs), with a total of 20,703 patients (mean age ranging from 55 to 76 years) with ACS (Table 1). Two of the RCTs were double-blind placebo-controlled studies (Table 1). Four of the fifteen studies were sub-analyses of RCTs (Table 2), and the remaining seven were cohort and observational studies (median sample size ranging from 81 to 10,003, mean age ranging from 54 to 70 years) (Tables 3 and 4). The duration of follow-up varied from 4 weeks to 56 months. Cardiac death, all-cause death, and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were the most commonly measured outcomes. Descriptive information of the included trials and subjects in this review is summarized in Tables 14.

Study Quality

Among all studies included in this review, only 10 reported detailed methods, and no study reported methods used for determining sample size calculations, allocation concealment, or blinding methods. For those studies reporting follow-up (Table 1, studies 3–11), all reported a high follow-up rate (95%–99%), but no explanation was given for the reasons for dropouts. The characteristics of participants in each study arm were similar at baseline (age, race, sex, and disease course)

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Table 2

Descriptive information of the included randomized controlled trial (RCT) subanalysis and subjects in this review.

Mortality

Pilgrim et al8 reported a significant increase in all-cause mortality in patients with ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) within the first 30 days. No difference in all-cause mortality was found between 31 days and 2 years in patients with STEMI. In contrast, patients with non-ST segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) exhibited a higher mortality rate compared to those with stable ischemic heart disease (SIHD) at 2 years’ follow-up.8 Interestingly, the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and frequency of prior cardiovascular disease incidence remained lower in patients with STEMI compared to those with NSTEMI, SIHD, and recurrent myocardial infarction (MI) at 2 years of follow up.8

Figure 1

Flow chart of literature review and analysis

For patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) procedures, mortality and MACE rates were higher among patients in the urgent PCI group during hospitalization.24 No differences were reported by Yao et al24 after hospital discharge within the urgent PCI, delayed PCI, NSTEMI, and SIHD groups. Patients who received paclitaxel-eluting stents (PES) had a higher rate of cardiac death and MI compared to sirolimus-eluting stent (SES) (observational registry).24 Further evidence showed that patients with a higher clinical cardiovascular risk benefited from drug eluting stents (DES) (lower death rates from cardiac causes), whereas no difference in mortality was seen between DES and bare metal stents (BMS) in patients with low to moderate risks (BASKET-PROVE trial).16 Patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) were more likely to report improvement in angina symptoms compared to those who received medical therapy alone (odds ratio: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.55 to 0.90; P < 0.01).16

Angina Pectoris in Heart Failure Patients

No correlation was found between resolution of angina symptoms and all-cause mortality in medically treated patients with left ventricular (LV) dysfunction and coronary artery disease (CAD) (STICH trial).14 Nearly every trial found that reduced LV function was associated with worse QoL and mental health issues such as depression. Among patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, an increased rate of hospitalization was found (71.2% vs. 62.3%; hazard ratio 1.25; P=0.003; HF-ACTION trial)9, whereas no difference in all-cause or CV mortality at follow-up was observed (16.3% vs. 16.7%; hazard ratio 0.88; P=0.39; HF-ACTION trial).9 A “J-shaped phenomenon on blood pressure” was observed only in the preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) group, which suggested that excessive blood pressure control had no impact on MACE in CAD patients with hypertension and reduced LVEF (HIJCREATE trial).17 Patients with angina pectoris and preserved ejection fraction had higher rate of impaired QoL, with depression being more prevalent in younger patients (43% age <60 vs. 57% age>60; P<0.01; HF-ACTION trial).15

Other Characteristics

Sex differences

Studies showed that although women had lower rates of CAD compared to men, they were more likely to have certain cardiovascular risk factors including hypertension (66.6% vs. 63.2%; P<0.005), dyslipidemia (68.9% vs. 66.3%: P<0.005), and a family history of premature CAD, especially when older (>60 years-of-age; 34.6% vs. 29.3%; P < 0.005).20 Women were also less likely to have a positive stress test (9.7% vs. 15.1%; P<0.001; PROMISE trial).20

Exercise

A cycle ergometer exercise program supervised by primary care nurses increased the functional capacity of coronary patients more than unsupervised walking (ESCAP trial).5 Despite greater peak improvement in VO2 (interaction P value between baseline angina and treatment group, P=0.02) with exercise training, patients with angina pectoris with reduced ejection fraction experienced more adverse outcomes (73.9% vs. 65.2%; hazard ratio 1.22; P=0.01; HF-ACTION trial).9

Follow-up Strategies

Patients followed up by a comprehensive team consisting of pharmacist, patient education, primary care physicians, and cardiologist were more likely to adhere to medical therapy (multi-faceted, patient-centered intervention study).7 The proportions of all-cause death, cardiac death, and cumulative MACEs of patients in the intensive follow-up group were reportedly lower than the control group: these patients had a longer survival (log rank=8.565; P=0.003), lower medical costs (US $582.74 vs. US $999.32; P=0.003), better control of cardiovascular risk factors, and medication adherence.11 According to an observational registry study, independent predictors of death during follow-up were age (HR 1.03: P<0.001), left ventricular ejection function <40% (HR 2.79; P=0.002), diabetes mellitus (HR 2.38; P=0.007), prior coronary artery bypass graft (HR 13.9; P=0.001) and chronic total occlusion (HR 2.93; P=0.003; observational registry).24

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Table 3

Descriptive information of the included cohort studies and subjects in this review.

Medications

The incidence of ischemia-driven revascularization or hospitalization in patients with a history of CAD showed no significant differences between ranolazine and placebo.13 Ranolazine did not reduce the frequency of sudden cardiac death, cardiovascular death, and MI (RIVER-PCI trial).13 Based on laboratory and imaging results (post-PCI peak creatine kinase-MB, troponin I levels, site branch occlusion, or flow reduction), no benefits were observed with intracoronary nicorandil infusion.18 Some Chinese herbals such as Dan-hong, were shown to decrease inflammatory or necrosis markers (Scd40L) and improved cardiac function.19

Dual antiplatelet therapy is standard treatment after PCI. Prasugrel exhibited higher inhibition on platelet reactivity than double-dose clopidogrel, but no difference was observed on the rate of MACEs at follow-up in the TAILOR trial (median of 571 days, myocardial infarction 3.7% vs. 3.8%, P=1; stroke 1.9% vs. 0%, P=1; CV death 3.7% vs. 9.6%, P=0.27 ).23 The incidence of MACEs at 12-month follow up was lower in patients given nebivolol (10 mg daily) compared to the metoprolol group (200 mg once daily) (14.5% vs. 31.5%; P=0.03), but no difference was observed between nebivolol and the carvedilol group (25 mg twice daily; 20.3% vs.31.5%, P>0.05) or between carvedilol and the metoprolol succinate groups (14.5% vs. 20.3%, P>0.05).12

Though more adverse effects have been related to high-intensity statin therapy, it has been shown to be more effective than moderate-intensity statin therapy in reducing MACE rate at follow up in patients with ACS (16.8% vs. 10.1%, P=0.021).10 Patients with percent atheroma volume (PAV) had a higher cumulative incidence of MACEs in 2 years of follow-up compared with all lower PAV quartiles combined (12%, log-rank test P=0.001, SATURN study).4

Discussion

This systematic review from 2012 to 2017 was undertaken to gain insight into recent developments on the prognosis of patients with ACS (Table 5). Our review included evaluation of medical and interventional treatments in patients with ACS. Consistent with the results of studies conducted prior to 2012,2527 our review shows that patients with STEMI remain at higher risk for all-cause mortality during short-term follow-up. However, no difference in prognosis was found beyond the first 30 days in STEMI, NSTEMI, or SIHD patients. Additionally, NSTEMI patients were more likely than those with SIHD to have a higher mortality rate regardless of their clinical presentation. Furthermore, patients with NSTEMI had a poorer long-term prognosis compared to SIHD.

The finding of a high cardiac mortality in NSTEMI patients was not unexpected, and several factors may account for the adverse prognosis. A higher mortality during hospitalization and short-term follow up may be explained by age-based variation in ACS. STEMI patients are typically younger and have fewer comorbidities and other cardiac “warning signs” before the onset. NSTEMI and SIHD patients are older and have more advanced CAD. It seems plausible that the variability found between STEMI and NSTEMI or SIHD patients could be attributed, partially, to STEMI patients receiving guideline-recommended pharmacotherapy more often as well as close long-term follow up medical care.27

STEMI patients also receive more stringent secondary prevention and standard interventions that may further reduce the risk for adverse late-term outcomes.28 This raises a valuable question of whether interventional or revascularization procedures should be considered in patients with NSTEMI to identify and treat culprit stenosis and to prevent further inflammatory progression of non-culprit lesions. Indeed, cardiovascular events occurring during follow up after percutaneous coronary intervention are equally attributable to recurrence at the site of culprit lesions and non-culprit lesions, the latter may occur do to activation of chronic inflammatory disease process.2830

Our systematic review reveals that prognosis in patients treated medically is non-inferior to interventional therapies, although the latter is effective in reducing the frequency of recurrent angina symptoms. CABG has been shown to improve symptoms without effecting prognosis in patients with angina pectoris. In fact, in-hospital and short-term outcomes are generally favorable in CABG and NSTEMI patients. Additionally, urgent PCI is associated with higher in-hospital mortality. Consequently, our review reconfirms prior studies that CABG or PCI may not be the preferred treatment for low- to moderate-risk patients, and stenting in selected patients may be beneficial for improving angina symptoms. In the majority of patients, pharmacological treatment is successful in relieving symptoms, whereas in patients with STEMI, surgical treatment appears to be more effective in controlling symptoms than invasive procedures without affecting prognosis.

Heart failure was found to be associated with higher mortality, and the strongest independent risk factor for mortality reported was reduced left ventricular ejection fraction.31 Nonetheless, over the last three decades, in-hospital and 30-day mortality have markedly decreased presumably due to improved acute management of MI.32 Heart failure is a potentially debilitating complication of ischemic heart disease. As illustrated from our results, heart failure is also an important predictor for long-term prognosis. It is vital to diagnose heart failure early and initiate evidence-based management to limit progression and improve outcomes. Patients with heart failure may have other challenges managing their angina pectoris including medication adherence, economic implications, additional co-morbid conditions, increased adverse events, and other sequelae associated with mood disorders including depression.32

Sex difference plays a significant role in patients with MI. Assessment of baseline characteristics, medical history, clinical presentation at admission and treatment strategies suggests that women have a poorer long-term prognosis compared to men. Overall, significant heterogeneity was observed across clinical presentation and sex distribution in clinical and procedural variables. Our review showed that the rate of all-cause death and cardiac death were significantly higher in female than in male STEMI patient during a 2-year follow-up.24 However, there were no differences between sexes in all-cause or cardiac death in patients with NSTEMI and SIHD. Current ACS guidelines recommend that both sexes should be evaluated and treated the same.33 Despite this recommendation, men continue to receive more advanced therapeutic modalities than women.34 Although there were no differences in long-term mortality between men and women, women were generally older with more clustering of risk factors that may contribute to their higher mortality risk. Sex bias in treatment and sex disparities in vascular flow and structure may further add to this increased mortality. Most studies evaluating sex differences for prognosis found that women tend to have more concomitant vaso-vegetative symptoms masking chest pain,35 smaller vessel size, less collateral flow, more vascular stuffiness, and differences in remodeling.36 A greater awareness of the sex differences in presentation of angina pectoris between men and women is required by health care professionals to improve therapeutic strategies and outcomes in women.37

View this table:
Table 4

Descriptive information of the other trials and subjects in this review.

View this table:
Table 5

Summary of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) prognosis factors outcomes, 2012–2017

Conclusion

In view of the improved prognosis demonstrated for patients suffering from ACS, assessing outcomes in patients with angina pectoris represents a formidable task in modern practice. The optimal diagnostic evaluation and treatment of patients suspected of having obstructive CAD remains unclear. LVEF, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and previous MI should be included in risk assessment tools for better prediction of prognosis. Our review reconfirms the importance that patients who receive follow-up care with comprehensive methods (pharmacist, patient education, primary care physicians, cardiologist) are more likely to adhere to medications, and a supervised cardiac rehabilitation exercise program that increases the functional capacity of coronary patients more than unsupervised walking. Given the high prevalence of CAD and excellent prognosis of symptomatic patients with contemporary care, larger randomized trials are still warranted to determine which therapies are the most effective to optimize therapy in the long term. Also, a therapeutic window with precise cut-offs for optimal therapy is warranted to find adequate balance between optimal treatment and those that are potentially detrimental and may result in adverse effects. We also recognize that the focus on randomized clinical trials with stringent inclusion and exclusion criteria often do not represent real world data. Registries, although they contain real world data, are limited by a lack of homogeneity, creating difficulties in drawing comparison between groups. Information regarding pre-enrollment screening (eg, screen failures) is often not reported in randomized controlled clinical trials. It is particularly relevant to report enrollment to screen ratio to provide the reader with the full view of the clinical trial and to inform the design of future clinical trials.

  • Received April 4, 2018.
  • Revision received October 21, 2018.
  • Revision received January 22, 2019.
  • Revision received March 11, 2019.
  • Accepted March 18, 2019.

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